Oct
5
2010
This is in a series of articles on economic indicators in forex trading. This one in particular is about monetary policy and how it affects foreign currencies. This is an important one in particular right now for forex trading strategies because of the Federal Reserve Bank’s monetary policy.
Monetary policy has to do with the money supply that an economy has in it’s system. It also has to do with interest rates and the cost of borrowing. These are the ways that central banks like the Fed execute monetary policy.
This is different that fiscal policy where the government tries to affect the economy through government spending and tax policies. Monetary policy and central bank announcements and moves are one of the most important forex indicators out there.
The Fed came out a couple of weeks ago and said that they would continue to keep the cost of borrowing low. They even said that they would do more quantitative easing in order to make that happen. That basically means that they are going to print money and pump it into the money supply system.
This in effect causes the USD to decline in value. If you inject money into the economy, you are making money cheap and easy. Just like in anything else, this makes the value of the US dollar go down.
Also, it has the affect of other central banks and other countries counteracting their action. For example, right now the Japanese Central Bank announced they would do the same thing and pump money into their economy. They have been doing this for years and they are continuing on this path.
Even a hint in their announcements make the forex market move dramatically. You have to understand Fed-speak and know how to read between the lines. If you can do that, it will help you predict moves in the currency market for your trading activities.
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Aug
30
2009
A lot of people think that trade options are rather risky. This is true but then again according to experts the real risk is within the strategy that one use on the trade option. Fortunately, one can reduce the risks of these trade options with the proper strategies. For starters, these trade options are contracts which can give the trader the privilege of either buying or selling of a stock at a predetermined price.
Basically, there are two types of options which are the puts and the calls. The call option is the right of a trader to buy assets at a predetermined price either on or before the date of expiration. Usually, one would call if one expects the price of an asset to be somewhat high in the future. On the other hand, the put option is the right of a trader to sell an asset at a predetermined price either on or before the date of expiration. This is done when one expects the price of an asset to be low in the near future as predicted by your options analysis software.
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Aug
16
2009
The stock market is a strange animal. Nobody can precisely predict how it is going to move. There are, however, reliable charts and indicators to help every investor make the best investment decision at any particular time to boost his odds at making better earnings on his investment. One particular sector that has been receiving much attention nowadays are newspaper stocks. Investment guru Warren Buffet has even made an aside about not giving any thought to buying these newspapers “at any cost.” People are perplexed about the conflicting projection of newspaper stocks exiting soon versus the rallying of stock values in the past month. The unexpected rally, according to experts, is merely a result of the cost-cutting measures of these newspaper companies. The surge of newspaper stock values are not to be readily interpreted as a reversal towards better profitability for these newspaper companies, and you can track that using stock price software. On the contrary, more apprehension is felt by experts that these newspaper companies are on their way out.
Shorting their position on their newspaper stocks remain to be the popular investment move nowadays. This kind of a position allows them to cover their gains against the uncertainty of the market. They can buy back and sell their shares at a lower price when prices take a dip while at the same time locking in the lower buying price when prices soar further. This is definitely no time to buy any newspaper shares, according to experts. The more prudent option now would be to start selling your shares. Selling at spikes in price movements could give you a lot of money for your newspaper stocks. While experts expect some more of these spikes to show up in the charts over the short term, there really is no telling when these stocks would appear in the top line. A sure way to recover from your newspaper stocks would be to sell as soon as you see a spike. Waiting things out might not be a wise move for highly volatile newspaper stocks that might not be around for long.
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